Karacabey Belediyespor vs Ankaragücü: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mustafa Fehmi Gerçeker Stadyumu, Karacabey
The Footlab model makes Ankaragücü the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Karacabey Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karacabey Belediyespor vs Ankaragücü?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Karacabey Belediyespor (1,703) and Ankaragücü (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karacabey Belediyespor have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ankaragücü have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Beykoz Anadolu(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ankaraspor(home) | 3-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 3-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(home) | 4-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | İskenderunspor(home) | 4-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Erbaaspor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | İnegölspor(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kepezspor(away) | 3-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Karacabey Belediyespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ankaragücü win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor 0-2 Ankaragücü | 2. Lig |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Ankaragücü 2-0 Karacabey Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Karacabey Belediyespor vs Ankaragücü on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karacabey Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ankaragücü score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karacabey Belediyespor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ankaragücü | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karacabey Belediyespor sit 13th in 2. Lig (41 points from 36 matches) and Ankaragücü sit 6th (63 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ankaragücü | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 63 |
| 13 | Karacabey Belediyespor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 55 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karacabey Belediyespor vs Ankaragücü?
- The Footlab model makes Ankaragücü the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Karacabey Belediyespor.
- Where and when is Karacabey Belediyespor vs Ankaragücü played?
- Karacabey Belediyespor vs Ankaragücü is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mustafa Fehmi Gerçeker Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.