Sakaryaspor vs Kütahyaspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu, Adapazarı
The Footlab model makes Kütahyaspor the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Sakaryaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sakaryaspor vs Kütahyaspor?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Sakaryaspor (1,661) and Kütahyaspor (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sakaryaspor have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Kütahyaspor have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 0-5 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 0-4 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Söke 1970(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bornova 1877(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 0-4 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Denizli İYG(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sakaryaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kütahyaspor score 2.2 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sakaryaspor | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Kütahyaspor | 2.2 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sakaryaspor vs Kütahyaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Kütahyaspor the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Sakaryaspor.
- Where and when is Sakaryaspor vs Kütahyaspor played?
- Sakaryaspor vs Kütahyaspor is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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