Karbala vs Al Talaba: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Karbala Stadium, Karbala
The Footlab model makes Al Talaba the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Karbala. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karbala vs Al Talaba?
Al Talaba starts as the favourite with a 264-point Elo edge (1,601 vs 1,337).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karbala have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Al Talaba have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Baghdad(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Al Hudod(home) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Naft(home) | 2-4 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Duhok(away) | 3-3 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 28, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 19, 2026 | Al-Karma(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karbala win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Al Talaba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2025 | Al Talaba 2-0 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Karbala 0-2 Al Talaba | Iraqi League |
| Jun 4, 2024 | Karbala 0-0 Al Talaba | Iraqi League |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Al Talaba 0-0 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Karbala 3-1 Al Talaba | Iraqi League |
| Oct 14, 2022 | Al Talaba 1-0 Karbala | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Karbala score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Talaba score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karbala | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Talaba | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karbala sit 12th in Iraqi League (2 points from 2 matches) and Al Talaba sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Karbala | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | Al Talaba | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karbala vs Al Talaba?
- The Footlab model makes Al Talaba the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Karbala.
- Where and when is Karbala vs Al Talaba played?
- Karbala vs Al Talaba is played on October 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Karbala Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.