Naft vs Al Kahrabaa: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Al-Madina International Stadium, Baghdad
The Footlab AI model makes Naft the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Al Kahrabaa. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naft vs Al Kahrabaa?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Naft (1,561) and Al Kahrabaa (1,475).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Naft vs Al Kahrabaa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Naft
Not enough data to predict the Naft lineup.
Al Kahrabaa
Not enough data to predict the Al Kahrabaa lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naft have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Al Kahrabaa have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Mosul(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Karbala(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al-Karma(away) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Al Talaba(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Naft wins, 3 draws, 0 Al Kahrabaa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa 1-2 Naft | Iraqi League |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Naft 1-0 Al Kahrabaa | Iraqi League |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Al Kahrabaa 1-1 Naft | Iraqi League |
| Jan 2, 2025 | Al Kahrabaa 0-0 Naft | Iraqi League |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Naft 3-2 Al Kahrabaa | Iraqi League |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Al Kahrabaa 2-2 Naft | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Naft score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Al Kahrabaa score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Al Kahrabaa | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naft sit 6th in Iraqi League (15 points from 8 matches) and Al Kahrabaa sit 17th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Naft | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 15 |
| 17 | Al Kahrabaa | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Naft vs Al Kahrabaa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naft vs Al Kahrabaa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Naft the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Al Kahrabaa.
- Where and when is Naft vs Al Kahrabaa played?
- Naft vs Al Kahrabaa is played on October 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Madina International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.