Where and when is Karela vs Aduana Stars played?

Karela vs Aduana Stars is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, in the Premier League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Karela vs Aduana Stars: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, Nalerigu

Karela

Aduana Stars

The Footlab model makes Karela the favourite at 48%, against 32% for a draw and 19% for Aduana Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Karela vs Aduana Stars?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Karela (1,569) and Aduana Stars (1,573).

Karela win48 %

Draw32 %

Aduana Stars win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karela have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Aduana Stars have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Karela
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Nations(home)	0-1	Premier League
May 17, 2026	Swedru All Blacks(home)	1-0	Premier League
May 10, 2026	Vision(away)	0-3	Premier League
May 6, 2026	Hearts of Oak(away)	0-0	Premier League
May 3, 2026	Young Apostles(home)	2-1	Premier League

Aduana Stars
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 18, 2026	Basake Holy Stars(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Vision(away)	0-3	Premier League
May 17, 2026	Young Apostles(home)	3-1	Premier League
May 10, 2026	Hearts of Oak(away)	0-0	Premier League
May 6, 2026	Basake Holy Stars(away)	0-2	Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Karela win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Aduana Stars win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 11, 2026	Aduana Stars 2-1 Karela	Premier League
Sep 14, 2025	Karela 1-0 Aduana Stars	Premier League
Apr 13, 2025	Karela 2-0 Aduana Stars	Premier League
Nov 10, 2024	Aduana Stars 1-0 Karela	Premier League
Apr 27, 2024	Aduana Stars 1-2 Karela	Premier League
Nov 18, 2023	Karela 2-1 Aduana Stars	Premier League

Last archived meeting: Aduana Stars vs Karela on Jan 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aduana Stars score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Karela	0.9	0.9	8	3/15	4/15
Aduana Stars	0.7	0.8	7	3/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Karela sit 9th in Premier League (49 points from 34 matches) and Aduana Stars sit 6th (50 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Aduana Stars	34	13	11	10	29	24	50
9	Karela	34	13	10	11	32	33	49

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Karela vs Aduana Stars?: The Footlab model makes Karela the favourite at 48%, against 32% for a draw and 19% for Aduana Stars.
Where and when is Karela vs Aduana Stars played?: Karela vs Aduana Stars is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.