Kári vs Thróttur Vogar: prediction and stats
2. DeildRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Akraneshöllin, Akranes
The Footlab model makes Kári the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Thróttur Vogar. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kári vs Thróttur Vogar?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Kári (1,480) and Thróttur Vogar (1,413).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kári have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeats; Thróttur Vogar have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fjolnir(home) | 1-0 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Selfoss(away) | 2-2 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vikingur Olafsiik(home) | 4-1 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dalvík / Reynir(away) | 1-1 | 2. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kormákur / Hvöt(home) | 1-1 | 2. Deild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Selfoss(home) | 1-3 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Vikingur Olafsiik(away) | 1-2 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalvík / Reynir(home) | 2-0 | 2. Deild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kormákur / Hvöt(away) | 0-2 | 2. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hvíti riddarinn(home) | 3-1 | 2. Deild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kári win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Thróttur Vogar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2026 | Thróttur Vogar 1-4 Kári | 2. Deild |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Thróttur Vogar 0-1 Kári | 2. Deild |
| May 3, 2025 | Kári 1-2 Thróttur Vogar | 2. Deild |
| Sep 3, 2021 | Kári 0-5 Thróttur Vogar | 2. Deild |
| Jun 30, 2021 | Thróttur Vogar 4-1 Kári | 2. Deild |
| Aug 19, 2020 | Kári 1-2 Thróttur Vogar | 2. Deild |
Last archived meeting: Thróttur Vogar vs Kári on Jun 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kári score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Thróttur Vogar score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kári | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Thróttur Vogar | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kári sit 3rd in 2. Deild (33 points from 19 matches) and Thróttur Vogar sit 10th (19 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kári | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 48 | 29 | 33 |
| 10 | Thróttur Vogar | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 38 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kári vs Thróttur Vogar?
- The Footlab model makes Kári the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Thróttur Vogar.
- Where and when is Kári vs Thróttur Vogar played?
- Kári vs Thróttur Vogar is played on August 28, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC) at Akraneshöllin, in the 2. Deild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.