Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Carina Gubin: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Jelenia Góra
The Footlab model makes Karkonosze Jelenia Góra the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Carina Gubin?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (1,743) and Carina Gubin (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Carina Gubin have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Carina Gubin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Carina Gubin 1-1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 3-2 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Carina Gubin 1-2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 10, 2025 | Carina Gubin 3-0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0-1 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0-1 Carina Gubin | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Carina Gubin vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Carina Gubin | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra sit 8th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Carina Gubin sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 | Carina Gubin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Carina Gubin?
- The Footlab model makes Karkonosze Jelenia Góra the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Carina Gubin.
- Where and when is Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Carina Gubin played?
- Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Carina Gubin is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Zaglebie SosnowiecvsROW Rybnik
- Feb 27, 2027SKRA CzęstochowavsStilon Gorzów
- Feb 27, 2027KluczborkvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Feb 27, 2027Miedź Legnica IIvsGórnik Polkowice
- Feb 27, 2027Ślęza WrocławvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Feb 27, 2027Warta GorzówvsBarycz Sułów
- Feb 27, 2027Sparta KatowicevsStal Brzeg
- Feb 27, 2027SłowianinvsZagłębie Lubin II