Where and when is Sparta Katowice vs Stal Brzeg played?

Sparta Katowice vs Stal Brzeg is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rapid, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sparta Katowice vs Stal Brzeg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rapid, Katowice

Sparta Katowice

Stal Brzeg

The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Stal Brzeg. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sparta Katowice vs Stal Brzeg?

Sparta Katowice starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,629).

Sparta Katowice win62 %

Draw21 %

Stal Brzeg win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Katowice have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Stal Brzeg have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sparta Katowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Stal Brzeg(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Stilon Gorzów(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Zagłębie Lubin II(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 3

Stal Brzeg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rakow II(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Polonia Nysa(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Sparta Katowice(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 7, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	5-1	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sparta Katowice win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Stal Brzeg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Stal Brzeg 1-1 Sparta Katowice	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Stal Brzeg vs Sparta Katowice on Aug 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sparta Katowice	1.9	0.9	6	8/15	9/15
Stal Brzeg	1.5	1.3	4	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sparta Katowice sit 5th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Stal Brzeg sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Sparta Katowice	5	3	1	1	8	4	10
7	Stal Brzeg	5	2	2	1	12	6	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sparta Katowice vs Stal Brzeg?: The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Stal Brzeg.
Where and when is Sparta Katowice vs Stal Brzeg played?: Sparta Katowice vs Stal Brzeg is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rapid, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.