Match

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs ROW Rybnik: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec

Zaglebie SosnowiecROW Rybnik

The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for ROW Rybnik. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs ROW Rybnik?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,710) and ROW Rybnik (1,663).

Zaglebie Sosnowiec win50 %
Draw24 %
ROW Rybnik win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; ROW Rybnik have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Carina Gubin(away)4-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)3-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)1-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)2-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 5, 2026Tychy 71(away)0-1Cup
ROW Rybnik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Barycz Sułów(away)0-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Carina Gubin(home)4-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)4-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Warta Gorzów(home)5-1III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 ROW Rybnik win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026ROW Rybnik 4-1 Zaglebie SosnowiecIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: ROW Rybnik vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; ROW Rybnik score 2.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zaglebie Sosnowiec1.21.556/158/15
ROW Rybnik2.52.249/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and ROW Rybnik sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Zaglebie Sosnowiec531110510
6ROW Rybnik53021379

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs ROW Rybnik?
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for ROW Rybnik.
Where and when is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs ROW Rybnik played?
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs ROW Rybnik is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Zaglebie Sosnowiec and ROW Rybnik

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