Chomutov vs Slovan Velvary: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Letní stadion na Zadních Vinohradech, Chomutov
The Footlab model makes Chomutov the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Slovan Velvary. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chomutov vs Slovan Velvary?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Chomutov (1,732) and Slovan Velvary (1,638).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chomutov have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Slovan Velvary have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem II(home) | 5-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(away) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rapid Psáry(home) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Karlovy Vary(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hvězda Cheb(away) | 4-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slaný(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Baník Souš(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - CFL B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Chomutov win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Slovan Velvary win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Slovan Velvary 1-0 Chomutov | 3. liga - CFL A |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Chomutov 3-2 Slovan Velvary | 3. liga - CFL A |
| Aug 25, 2021 | Slovan Velvary 3-1 Chomutov | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Slovan Velvary vs Chomutov on Mar 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chomutov score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Slovan Velvary score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chomutov | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Slovan Velvary | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chomutov sit 1st in 4. liga - Divizie B (9 points from 3 matches) and Slovan Velvary sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chomutov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Slovan Velvary | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chomutov vs Slovan Velvary?
- The Footlab model makes Chomutov the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Slovan Velvary.
- Where and when is Chomutov vs Slovan Velvary played?
- Chomutov vs Slovan Velvary is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Letní stadion na Zadních Vinohradech, in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.