Karlskrona vs Berga: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra GötalandSödra Götaland - 19Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Västra Marks IP, Karlskrona
The Footlab model makes Karlskrona the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Berga. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karlskrona vs Berga?
Karlskrona starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,613 vs 1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karlskrona have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Berga have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Växjö Norra(home) | 5-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lilla Torg(away) | 4-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torns(home) | 5-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Nosaby(home) | 5-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Österlen(away) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Staffanstorp United(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torns(away) | 4-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Räppe(away) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IFK Trelleborg(home) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Växjö Norra(home) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Karlskrona win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Berga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Berga 1-3 Karlskrona | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Karlskrona 3-0 Berga | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| May 31, 2024 | Berga 1-2 Karlskrona | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Karlskrona 3-1 Berga | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 16, 2023 | Berga 0-0 Karlskrona | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Berga 2-1 Karlskrona | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
How many goals should we expect?
Karlskrona score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Berga score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlskrona | 2.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Berga | 2.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karlskrona sit 1st in Division 2 - Södra Götaland (27 points from 13 matches) and Berga sit 7th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karlskrona | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 27 |
| 1 | Karlskrona | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 18 | 42 |
| 4 | Berga | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 24 | 31 |
| 7 | Berga | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 18 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karlskrona vs Berga?
- The Footlab model makes Karlskrona the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Berga.
- Where and when is Karlskrona vs Berga played?
- Karlskrona vs Berga is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Västra Marks IP, in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.