Berga vs Lilla Torg: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra GötalandSödra Götaland - 20Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bergavik IP A, Kalmar
The Footlab model makes Berga the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Lilla Torg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berga vs Lilla Torg?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Berga (1,442) and Lilla Torg (1,405).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berga have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Lilla Torg have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Staffanstorp United(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torns(away) | 4-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Räppe(away) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IFK Trelleborg(home) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Växjö Norra(home) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IFK Trelleborg(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karlskrona(home) | 1-4 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Staffanstorp United(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Oskarshamns AIK(home) | 2-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kristianstad(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Berga win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lilla Torg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Lilla Torg 2-1 Berga | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
How many goals should we expect?
Berga score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lilla Torg score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berga | 2.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Lilla Torg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Berga sit 7th in Division 2 - Södra Götaland (18 points from 13 matches) and Lilla Torg sit 9th (15 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Berga | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 24 | 31 |
| 7 | Berga | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 18 | 18 |
| 9 | Lilla Torg | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 15 |
| 11 | Lilla Torg | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berga vs Lilla Torg?
- The Footlab model makes Berga the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Lilla Torg.
- Where and when is Berga vs Lilla Torg played?
- Berga vs Lilla Torg is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bergavik IP A, in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.