Karpaty vs Dynamo Kyiv: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ukraina, Lviv
The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Karpaty. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dynamo Kyiv wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,526 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karpaty vs Dynamo Kyiv?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Karpaty (1,984) and Dynamo Kyiv (2,082).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Karpaty vs Dynamo Kyiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Karpaty
4-1-4-1- 9J. Séry
- 8A. Chachua
- 10Moha
- 31N. Rusyn
- 70Xeber Alkain
- 20M. Sapuga
- 47Jean Pedroso
- 17R. Vantukh
- 4V. Baboglo
- 11D. Miroshnichenko
- 80R. Mysak
Dynamo Kyiv
4-1-4-1- 11M. Ponomarenko
- 22V. Kabaev
- 7A. Yarmolenko
- 21J. Lonwijk
- 6V. Brazhko
- 15V. Rubchynskyi
- 32T. Mykhavko
- 44V. Dubinchak
- 94T. Kędziora
- 5O. Sych
- 1H. Bushchan
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karpaty have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Dynamo Kyiv have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karpaty win, 2 draws, 3 Dynamo Kyiv wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv 1-0 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv 0-1 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Karpaty 3-3 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Dynamo Kyiv 2-0 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Karpaty 1-3 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Dynamo Kyiv 1-1 Karpaty | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Kyiv vs Karpaty on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karpaty score 2.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Kyiv score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karpaty | 2.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 1.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karpaty sit 5th in Premier League (14 points from 8 matches) and Dynamo Kyiv sit 3rd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 14 |
A question about Karpaty vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karpaty vs Dynamo Kyiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Karpaty.
- Where and when is Karpaty vs Dynamo Kyiv played?
- Karpaty vs Dynamo Kyiv is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ukraina, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.