Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Karpaty: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ternopilskyi miskyi stadion im. Romana Shukhevycha, Ternopil
The Footlab model makes Karpaty the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Karpaty?
Karpaty starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,906 vs 1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Karpaty have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | To4ka Odessa(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Karpaty win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0-0 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Karpaty 1-3 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 3-2 Karpaty | Persha Liga |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Karpaty 2-0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Persha Liga |
| Nov 11, 2022 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1-0 Karpaty | Persha Liga |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Karpaty 0-2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Karpaty on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Karpaty score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Karpaty | 2.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi sit 6th in Premier League (4 points from 3 matches) and Karpaty sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Karpaty?
- The Footlab model makes Karpaty the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi.
- Where and when is Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Karpaty played?
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Karpaty is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ternopilskyi miskyi stadion im. Romana Shukhevycha, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.