Karpaty vs Kryvbas KR: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ukraina, Lviv
The Footlab model makes Karpaty the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Kryvbas KR. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karpaty vs Kryvbas KR?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Karpaty (1,906) and Kryvbas KR (1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karpaty have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Kryvbas KR have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rokyta(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Karpaty win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Kryvbas KR win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kryvbas KR 1-4 Karpaty | Premier League |
| May 8, 2026 | Kryvbas KR 1-0 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Karpaty 1-0 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Kryvbas KR 2-0 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Karpaty 3-0 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| Jul 9, 2023 | Kryvbas KR 0-1 Karpaty | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Karpaty score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kryvbas KR score 2.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karpaty | 2.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Kryvbas KR | 2.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karpaty sit 1st in Premier League (9 points from 3 matches) and Kryvbas KR sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Kryvbas KR | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karpaty vs Kryvbas KR?
- The Footlab model makes Karpaty the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Kryvbas KR.
- Where and when is Karpaty vs Kryvbas KR played?
- Karpaty vs Kryvbas KR is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ukraina, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.