Karpaty vs Kryvbas KR: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ukraina, Lviv
The Footlab AI model makes Karpaty the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Kryvbas KR. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karpaty vs Kryvbas KR?
On Elo ratings, Karpaty has 1,984 points and Kryvbas KR 1,922.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Karpaty vs Kryvbas KR
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Karpaty
4-1-4-1- 9J. Séry
- 8A. Chachua
- 10Moha
- 31N. Rusyn
- 70Xeber Alkain
- 20M. Sapuga
- 47Jean Pedroso
- 17R. Vantukh
- 4V. Baboglo
- 11D. Miroshnichenko
- 80R. Mysak
Kryvbas KR
4-1-2-3- 7Y. Rivas
- 24V. Mulyk
- 9S. Satchwell
- 8Y. Shevchenko
- 6D. Pidgurskyi
- 14Assane Seck
- 22João Machado
- 16Thiago Isabel Nascimento Borges
- 4V. Vilivald
- 5V. Kulbachuk
- 12O. Kemkin
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karpaty have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Kryvbas KR have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Olimpiya Savyntsi(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Chornomorets(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Karpaty wins, 0 draws, 2 Kryvbas KR wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kryvbas KR 1-4 Karpaty | Premier League |
| May 8, 2026 | Kryvbas KR 1-0 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Karpaty 1-0 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Kryvbas KR 2-0 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Karpaty 3-0 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| Jul 9, 2023 | Kryvbas KR 0-1 Karpaty | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Karpaty score 2.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kryvbas KR score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karpaty | 2.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Kryvbas KR | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karpaty sit 5th in Premier League (14 points from 8 matches) and Kryvbas KR sit 14th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Karpaty | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 14 |
| 14 | Kryvbas KR | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Karpaty vs Kryvbas KR?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karpaty vs Kryvbas KR?
- The Footlab AI model makes Karpaty the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Kryvbas KR.
- Where and when is Karpaty vs Kryvbas KR played?
- Karpaty vs Kryvbas KR is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ukraina, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.