Polessya vs Chornomorets: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr
The Footlab AI model makes Polessya the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Chornomorets. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polessya vs Chornomorets?
Polessya starts as the favourite with a 250-point Elo edge (2,055 vs 1,805).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Polessya vs Chornomorets
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Polessya
4-1-4-1- 89M. Gayduchyk
- 8R. Babenko
- 14L. Emërllahu
- 7O. Nazarenko
- 27O. Fedor
- 45M. Bragaru
- 5E. Sarapiy
- 44S. Chobotenko
- 31G. Maisuradze
- 4M. Kravchenko
- 1O. Kudryk
Chornomorets
4-2-3-1- 70J. Yoka
- 11K. Popov
- 18G. Robakidze
- 13V. Faraseenko
- 30M. Jobe
- 19M. Kogut
- 24M. Jarju
- 27O. Pushkarev
- 74M. Farina
- 21V. Klymenko
- 12C. Aniagboso
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polessya have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Chornomorets have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bukovyna(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Polessya wins, 0 draws, 3 Chornomorets wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chornomorets 1-2 Polessya | Premier League |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Polessya 3-1 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Chornomorets 1-4 Polessya | Premier League |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Polessya 1-4 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Chornomorets 1-0 Polessya | Premier League |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Chornomorets 2-1 Polessya | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Chornomorets vs Polessya on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polessya score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chornomorets score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polessya | 2.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Chornomorets | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polessya sit 2nd in Premier League (19 points from 8 matches) and Chornomorets sit 13th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Polessya | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 19 |
| 13 | Chornomorets | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Polessya vs Chornomorets?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polessya vs Chornomorets?
- The Footlab AI model makes Polessya the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Chornomorets.
- Where and when is Polessya vs Chornomorets played?
- Polessya vs Chornomorets is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tsentralnyi Stadion, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.