Kolos Kovalivka vs Zorya Luhansk: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kolos, Kovalivka
The Footlab model makes Zorya Luhansk the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Kolos Kovalivka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kolos Kovalivka vs Zorya Luhansk?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Kolos Kovalivka (1,849) and Zorya Luhansk (1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kolos Kovalivka have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Zorya Luhansk have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chornomorets(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Oleksandria(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Skala 1911 Stryi(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Göztepe(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kolos Kovalivka win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Zorya Luhansk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk 2-0 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk 2-2 Kolos Kovalivka | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 Zorya Luhansk | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Zorya Luhansk 1-3 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Zorya Luhansk 0-3 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Kolos Kovalivka 1-0 Zorya Luhansk | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kolos Kovalivka score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zorya Luhansk score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolos Kovalivka | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Zorya Luhansk | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kolos Kovalivka sit 16th in Premier League (0 points from 2 matches) and Zorya Luhansk sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zorya Luhansk | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 16 | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kolos Kovalivka vs Zorya Luhansk?
- The Footlab model makes Zorya Luhansk the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Kolos Kovalivka.
- Where and when is Kolos Kovalivka vs Zorya Luhansk played?
- Kolos Kovalivka vs Zorya Luhansk is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kolos, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.