Karviná II vs Frýdek-Místek: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 17Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Kovona, Karviná
The Footlab model makes Frýdek-Místek the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Karviná II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karviná II vs Frýdek-Místek?
Frýdek-Místek starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,847 vs 1,693).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karviná II have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Frýdek-Místek have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polanka nad Odrou(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Havířov(away) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Uherský Brod(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Uničov(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tatran Krásno(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unie Hlubina(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vsetín(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno II(away) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hranice(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karviná II win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Frýdek-Místek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Frýdek-Místek 1-0 Karviná II | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Karviná II 0-3 Frýdek-Místek | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Frýdek-Místek 2-0 Karviná II | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Karviná II 0-1 Frýdek-Místek | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Frýdek-Místek 1-2 Karviná II | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Karviná II 2-2 Frýdek-Místek | 3. liga - MSFL |
Last archived meeting: Frýdek-Místek vs Karviná II on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karviná II score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Frýdek-Místek score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karviná II | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Frýdek-Místek | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karviná II sit 6th in 3. liga - MSFL (7 points from 4 matches) and Frýdek-Místek sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Karviná II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Frýdek-Místek | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karviná II vs Frýdek-Místek?
- The Footlab model makes Frýdek-Místek the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Karviná II.
- Where and when is Karviná II vs Frýdek-Místek played?
- Karviná II vs Frýdek-Místek is played on September 2, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kovona, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.