Karviná vs Ústí nad Labem: prediction and stats
FNLRegular Season - 26Kick-off on May 5, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Městský Stadión, Karviná
The Footlab model makes Karviná the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Ústí nad Labem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karviná vs Ústí nad Labem?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Karviná (1,946) and Ústí nad Labem (1,930).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karviná have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Ústí nad Labem have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viktoria Žižkov(home) | 3-0 | FNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arsenal Česká Lípa(away) | 5-2 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Brumov(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Prostějov(away) | 2-1 | FNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vlašim(home) | 1-0 | FNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Varnsdorf(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dukla Praha(home) | 3-1 | FNL |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Třinec(away) | 0-0 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Karlovy Vary(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Arsenal Česká Lípa(home) | 3-3 | FNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Karviná score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ústí nad Labem score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karviná | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Ústí nad Labem | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ústí nad Labem | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karviná vs Ústí nad Labem?
- The Footlab model makes Karviná the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Ústí nad Labem.
- Where and when is Karviná vs Ústí nad Labem played?
- Karviná vs Ústí nad Labem is played on May 5, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Městský Stadión, in the FNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.