Match

Karviná vs Ústí nad Labem: prediction and stats

FNLRegular Season - 26Kick-off on May 5, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Městský Stadión, Karviná

KarvináÚstí nad Labem

The Footlab AI model makes Karviná the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Ústí nad Labem. The most likely score is 1-1. If Karviná wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Karviná vs Ústí nad Labem?

On Elo ratings, Karviná has 1,983 points and Ústí nad Labem 1,946.

58%24%18%
Karviná winDrawÚstí nad Labem win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Karviná vs Ústí nad Labem

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Karviná

4-3-3
  1. 7J. Selnar
  2. 8A. Kronus
  3. 31O. Condé
  1. 6R. Breite
  2. 11A. Čičovský
  3. 18Štěpán Míšek
  1. 25J. Fleišman
  2. 32S. Yakubu
  3. 19N. Milić
  4. 21A. Markovic
  1. 30J. Lapeš

Ústí nad Labem

4-3-3
  1. 9A. Do Marcolino
  2. 23F. Idumbo-Muzambo
  3. 10D. Černý
  1. 14P. Moulis
  2. 19P. Goj
  3. 15O. Ullman
  1. 3D. Březina
  2. 27N. Piralić
  3. 4Lukas Mraz
  4. 95Andrii Rudenkyi
  1. 91T. Holý

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:48 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karviná have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Ústí nad Labem have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Karviná
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Dukla Praha(home)3-0FNL
Oct 9, 2026Táborsko(away)1-0FNL
Oct 2, 2026Stal Rzeszów(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 18, 2026Hanácká(home)3-2FNL
Sep 11, 2026Třinec(away)2-3FNL
Ústí nad Labem
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Prostějov(away)2-2FNL
Oct 9, 2026Opava(home)2-3FNL
Sep 20, 2026Baník Ostrava II(away)2-0FNL
Sep 11, 2026Vysočina Jihlava(home)1-2FNL
Sep 4, 2026Slavia Praha II(home)1-1FNL

How many goals should we expect?

Karviná score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ústí nad Labem score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Karviná2.11.068/159/15
Ústí nad Labem1.81.469/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Ústí nad Labem3015312534648

A question about Karviná vs Ústí nad Labem?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Karviná vs Ústí nad Labem?
The Footlab AI model makes Karviná the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Ústí nad Labem.
Where and when is Karviná vs Ústí nad Labem played?
Karviná vs Ústí nad Labem is played on May 5, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Městský Stadión, in the FNL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Karviná and Ústí nad Labem

Ready to know everything about football?