Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)RAMS Park, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Beşiktaş. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Galatasaray (2,159) and Beşiktaş (2,116).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galatasaray have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Beşiktaş have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(away) | 4-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Alanyaspor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eyüpspor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hradec Králové(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Galatasaray win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Beşiktaş win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Beşiktaş 0-1 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Galatasaray 1-1 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Beşiktaş 2-1 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Galatasaray 2-1 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Galatasaray 0-5 Beşiktaş | Super Cup |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Beşiktaş 0-1 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Galatasaray score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Beşiktaş score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Beşiktaş | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Galatasaray sit 2nd in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Beşiktaş sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Galatasaray | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Beşiktaş | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş?
- The Footlab model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Beşiktaş.
- Where and when is Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş played?
- Galatasaray vs Beşiktaş is played on April 25, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at RAMS Park, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.