Kocaelispor vs Çorum FK: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu, Kocaeli
The Footlab model makes Kocaelispor the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Çorum FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kocaelispor vs Çorum FK?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Kocaelispor (1,874) and Çorum FK (1,921).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kocaelispor have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Çorum FK have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Amed(home) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(away) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 17, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 3, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 24, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(away) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 15, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 11, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kocaelispor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Çorum FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Kocaelispor 2-0 Çorum FK | 1. Lig |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Çorum FK 0-2 Kocaelispor | 1. Lig |
| May 16, 2024 | Çorum FK 2-1 Kocaelispor | 1. Lig |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Çorum FK 1-1 Kocaelispor | 1. Lig |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Kocaelispor 2-1 Çorum FK | 1. Lig |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Çorum FK 0-1 Kocaelispor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Kocaelispor vs Çorum FK on Feb 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kocaelispor score 0.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Çorum FK score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Çorum FK | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kocaelispor sit 11th in Süper Lig (3 points from 2 matches) and Çorum FK sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kocaelispor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Çorum FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kocaelispor vs Çorum FK?
- The Footlab model makes Kocaelispor the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Çorum FK.
- Where and when is Kocaelispor vs Çorum FK played?
- Kocaelispor vs Çorum FK is played on April 25, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.