Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Turan Turkistan: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Kaspij Aktau 2 the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Turan Turkistan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Turan Turkistan?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Kaspij Aktau 2 (1,320) and Turan Turkistan (1,389).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaspij Aktau 2 have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Turan Turkistan have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jaiyq(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Yelimay Semey 2(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Shakhter Karagandy(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aktobe Jas(home) | 6-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Ekibastuz(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sport Academy Kairat(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Taraz(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Astana II(home) | 5-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Khan Tengri(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tobol 2(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kaspij Aktau 2 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Turan Turkistan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | Turan Turkistan 3-0 Kaspij Aktau 2 | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Turan Turkistan vs Kaspij Aktau 2 on Jun 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kaspij Aktau 2 score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Turan Turkistan score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaspij Aktau 2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Turan Turkistan | 2.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kaspij Aktau 2 sit 9th in 1. Division (25 points from 19 matches) and Turan Turkistan sit 3rd (38 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Turan Turkistan | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 17 | 38 |
| 9 | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Turan Turkistan?
- The Footlab model makes Kaspij Aktau 2 the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Turan Turkistan.
- Where and when is Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Turan Turkistan played?
- Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Turan Turkistan is played on September 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.