Aktobe Jas vs Turan Turkistan: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Munayşı, Aktobe
The Footlab model makes Turan Turkistan the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Aktobe Jas. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aktobe Jas vs Turan Turkistan?
Turan Turkistan starts as the favourite with a 254-point Elo edge (1,402 vs 1,148).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aktobe Jas have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Turan Turkistan have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Yelimay Semey 2(away) | 5-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Shakhter Karagandy(home) | 1-6 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Ekibastuz(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Kaspij Aktau 2(away) | 1-6 | 1. Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Sport Academy Kairat(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sport Academy Kairat(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Taraz(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Astana II(home) | 5-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Khan Tengri(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tobol 2(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Aktobe Jas win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Turan Turkistan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Turan Turkistan 4-0 Aktobe Jas | 1. Division |
| Aug 4, 2023 | Turan Turkistan 7-1 Aktobe Jas | 1. Division |
| Apr 27, 2023 | Aktobe Jas 1-6 Turan Turkistan | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Turan Turkistan vs Aktobe Jas on Jun 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aktobe Jas score 1.9 and concede 3.3 goals per match over their last 15; Turan Turkistan score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aktobe Jas | 1.9 | 3.3 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Turan Turkistan | 2.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aktobe Jas sit 11th in 1. Division (20 points from 19 matches) and Turan Turkistan sit 3rd (38 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Turan Turkistan | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 17 | 38 |
| 11 | Aktobe Jas | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 60 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aktobe Jas vs Turan Turkistan?
- The Footlab model makes Turan Turkistan the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Aktobe Jas.
- Where and when is Aktobe Jas vs Turan Turkistan played?
- Aktobe Jas vs Turan Turkistan is played on September 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Munayşı, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.