Kassel 2 vs Baunatal: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 12Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Baunatal the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Kassel 2. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kassel 2 vs Baunatal?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Kassel 2 (1,723) and Baunatal (1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Kassel 2 have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Baunatal have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fernwald(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vfb Marburg(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Gießen(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Gießen(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hadamar(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
How many goals should we expect?
Kassel 2 score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 5; Baunatal score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kassel 2 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| Baunatal | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kassel 2 sit 12th in Oberliga - Hessen (4 points from 5 matches) and Baunatal sit 16th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kassel 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Baunatal | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kassel 2 vs Baunatal?
- The Footlab model makes Baunatal the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Kassel 2.
- Where and when is Kassel 2 vs Baunatal played?
- Kassel 2 vs Baunatal is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.