TuBa Pohlheim vs FC Gießen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 12Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Pohlheim-Holzheim, Pohlheim
The Footlab model makes TuBa Pohlheim the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for FC Gießen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TuBa Pohlheim vs FC Gießen?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate TuBa Pohlheim (1,818) and FC Gießen (1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TuBa Pohlheim have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; FC Gießen have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kassel(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Fernwald(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hummetroth(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Eddersheim(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hadamar(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Baunatal(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kassel 2(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 TuBa Pohlheim win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 FC Gießen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | FC Gießen 1-1 TuBa Pohlheim | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 20, 2025 | TuBa Pohlheim 4-0 FC Gießen | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: FC Gießen vs TuBa Pohlheim on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TuBa Pohlheim score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; FC Gießen score 1.2 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TuBa Pohlheim | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| FC Gießen | 1.2 | 2.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TuBa Pohlheim sit 6th in Oberliga - Hessen (10 points from 5 matches) and FC Gießen sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | TuBa Pohlheim | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | FC Gießen | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TuBa Pohlheim vs FC Gießen?
- The Footlab model makes TuBa Pohlheim the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for FC Gießen.
- Where and when is TuBa Pohlheim vs FC Gießen played?
- TuBa Pohlheim vs FC Gießen is played on October 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Pohlheim-Holzheim, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.