Katsantonis Agrafon vs Thiva: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5Group 5 - 5Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Katsantonis Agrafon the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Thiva. The most likely score is 1-1. If Katsantonis Agrafon wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,862 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Katsantonis Agrafon vs Thiva?
Katsantonis Agrafon starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,525 vs 1,422).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Katsantonis Agrafon vs Thiva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Katsantonis Agrafon
Not enough data to predict the Katsantonis Agrafon lineup.
Thiva
Not enough data to predict the Thiva lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Katsantonis Agrafon have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Thiva have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Asteras Stavros(home) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nea Artaki(away) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | A. Schimatari(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lamia(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Karystos(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Diagoras Agias(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kifissos(home) | 1-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fokikos(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Agios Nikolaos(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Katsantonis Agrafon score 0.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 4; Thiva score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katsantonis Agrafon | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 1/4 | 2/4 |
| Thiva | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Katsantonis Agrafon sit 8th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 (1 point from 2 matches) and Thiva sit 11th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Katsantonis Agrafon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Thiva | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
A question about Katsantonis Agrafon vs Thiva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Katsantonis Agrafon vs Thiva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Katsantonis Agrafon the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Thiva.
- Where and when is Katsantonis Agrafon vs Thiva played?
- Katsantonis Agrafon vs Thiva is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.