Kavala vs Aetos Orfani: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 6Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Anthi Karagianni, Kavala
The Footlab AI model makes Kavala the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Aetos Orfani. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kavala wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kavala vs Aetos Orfani?
Kavala starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,715 vs 1,613).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kavala vs Aetos Orfani
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kavala
4-3-3- 9M. Sifneos
- 11Yusri El Kandoussi
- 70Giannis Spandonidis
- 21Rakip Bregu
- 20V. Demosthenous
- 73Georgios Simitos
- 7V. Katsoulidis
- 3Konstantinos Dionellis
- 98Jakub Hrustinec
- 5Manolis Aliatidis
- 1Makis Giannikoglou
Aetos Orfani
Not enough data to predict the Aetos Orfani lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 10:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kavala have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Aetos Orfani have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Doxa Neo Sidirochori(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Eleftheroupolis(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Apollon Paralimniou(away) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Thrakis(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(home) | 2-2 | Super League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(away) | 1-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | MAS Ardas Kastanion(home) | 4-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Doxa Neo Sidirochori(away) | 3-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 1-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Kavala score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Aetos Orfani score 1.6 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kavala | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Aetos Orfani | 1.6 | 2.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aetos Orfani | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 37 | 33 |
A question about Kavala vs Aetos Orfani?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kavala vs Aetos Orfani?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kavala the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Aetos Orfani.
- Where and when is Kavala vs Aetos Orfani played?
- Kavala vs Aetos Orfani is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Anthi Karagianni, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.