Pontion Nea Amisos vs Kavala: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 · Matchday 7Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Kavala the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Pontion Nea Amisos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kavala wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,399 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontion Nea Amisos vs Kavala?
Kavala starts as the favourite with a 290-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,453).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pontion Nea Amisos vs Kavala
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pontion Nea Amisos
Not enough data to predict the Pontion Nea Amisos lineup.
Kavala
4-3-3- 9M. Sifneos
- 11Yusri El Kandoussi
- 70Giannis Spandonidis
- 21Rakip Bregu
- 20V. Demosthenous
- 73Georgios Simitos
- 7V. Katsoulidis
- 3Konstantinos Dionellis
- 98Jakub Hrustinec
- 5Manolis Aliatidis
- 1Makis Giannikoglou
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 12:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontion Nea Amisos have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Kavala have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Doxa Neo Sidirochori(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Eleftheroupolis(away) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Apollon Paralimniou(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Thrakis(home) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | MAS Ardas Kastanion(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Doxa Neo Sidirochori(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Eleftheroupolis(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Apollon Paralimniou(away) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Thrakis(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Pontion Nea Amisos score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kavala score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontion Nea Amisos | 0.9 | 2.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Kavala | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Pontion Nea Amisos vs Kavala?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontion Nea Amisos vs Kavala?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kavala the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Pontion Nea Amisos.
- Where and when is Pontion Nea Amisos vs Kavala played?
- Pontion Nea Amisos vs Kavala is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.