Apollon Paralimniou vs Aetos Orfani: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 7Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Gipedo Paralímniou, Paralimni
The Footlab model makes Apollon Paralimniou the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Aetos Orfani. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Apollon Paralimniou vs Aetos Orfani?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Apollon Paralimniou (1,516) and Aetos Orfani (1,520).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apollon Paralimniou have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Aetos Orfani have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Antheias-Aristinou(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Apollon Krya Vrysi(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Panthrakikos(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Evosmou(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Thermaikos Thermis(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 1-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 0-7 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Iraklis Therm.(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Apollon Paralimniou win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aetos Orfani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | Apollon Paralimniou 0-1 Aetos Orfani | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Aetos Orfani 0-1 Apollon Paralimniou | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Apollon Paralimniou 2-1 Aetos Orfani | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Apollon Paralimniou vs Aetos Orfani on Apr 11, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Apollon Paralimniou score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aetos Orfani score 1.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Paralimniou | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Aetos Orfani | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aetos Orfani | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 37 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Apollon Paralimniou vs Aetos Orfani?
- The Footlab model makes Apollon Paralimniou the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Aetos Orfani.
- Where and when is Apollon Paralimniou vs Aetos Orfani played?
- Apollon Paralimniou vs Aetos Orfani is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Gipedo Paralímniou, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.