Thrakis vs MAS Ardas Kastanion: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 13Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Thrakis the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for MAS Ardas Kastanion. The most likely score is 1-1. If Thrakis wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,151 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thrakis vs MAS Ardas Kastanion?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Thrakis (1,569) and MAS Ardas Kastanion (1,547).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Thrakis vs MAS Ardas Kastanion
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Thrakis
Not enough data to predict the Thrakis lineup.
MAS Ardas Kastanion
Not enough data to predict the MAS Ardas Kastanion lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 06:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Thrakis have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats; MAS Ardas Kastanion have 2, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Aetos Orfani(away) | 2-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | MAS Ardas Kastanion(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pontion Nea Amisos(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kavala(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Apollon Paralimniou(away) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Thrakis(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Aetos Orfani(away) | 1-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Xanthi FC(away) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontion Nea Amisos(home) | 3-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Thrakis win, 0 draws, 0 MAS Ardas Kastanion wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | MAS Ardas Kastanion 0-1 Thrakis | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Thrakis on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Thrakis score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 5; MAS Ardas Kastanion score 1.4 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thrakis | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| MAS Ardas Kastanion | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
A question about Thrakis vs MAS Ardas Kastanion?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thrakis vs MAS Ardas Kastanion?
- The Footlab AI model makes Thrakis the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for MAS Ardas Kastanion.
- Where and when is Thrakis vs MAS Ardas Kastanion played?
- Thrakis vs MAS Ardas Kastanion is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.