Kavala vs Pontion Nea Amisos: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 16Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Anthi Karagianni, Kavala
The Footlab model makes Kavala the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Pontion Nea Amisos. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kavala vs Pontion Nea Amisos?
Kavala is a heavy favourite: 1,621 Elo points against 1,304, a 316-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kavala have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Pontion Nea Amisos have 0, 2 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(home) | 2-2 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Makedonikos Neapolis(home) | 5-1 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | PAS Giannina(away) | 1-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kampaniakos Chalastra(away) | 0-2 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | PAOK II(home) | 2-1 | Super League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Orestis Orestiadas(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Aris Piges(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | PAO Kristoni(away) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Antheias-Aristinou(home) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Apollon Krya Vrysi(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Kavala score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pontion Nea Amisos score 0.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kavala | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Pontion Nea Amisos | 0.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pontion Nea Amisos | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 29 | 76 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kavala vs Pontion Nea Amisos?
- The Footlab model makes Kavala the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Pontion Nea Amisos.
- Where and when is Kavala vs Pontion Nea Amisos played?
- Kavala vs Pontion Nea Amisos is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Anthi Karagianni, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.