Aetos Orfani vs Apollon Paralimniou: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 16Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Panayot Volov, Shumen
The Footlab model makes Aetos Orfani the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Apollon Paralimniou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aetos Orfani vs Apollon Paralimniou?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Aetos Orfani (1,522) and Apollon Paralimniou (1,518).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aetos Orfani have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Apollon Paralimniou have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 1-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 0-7 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Iraklis Therm.(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Antheias-Aristinou(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Apollon Krya Vrysi(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Panthrakikos(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Evosmou(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Thermaikos Thermis(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Aetos Orfani win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Apollon Paralimniou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | Apollon Paralimniou 0-1 Aetos Orfani | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Aetos Orfani 0-1 Apollon Paralimniou | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Apollon Paralimniou 2-1 Aetos Orfani | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Apollon Paralimniou vs Aetos Orfani on Apr 11, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Aetos Orfani score 1.6 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Apollon Paralimniou score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aetos Orfani | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Apollon Paralimniou | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aetos Orfani | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 37 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aetos Orfani vs Apollon Paralimniou?
- The Footlab model makes Aetos Orfani the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Apollon Paralimniou.
- Where and when is Aetos Orfani vs Apollon Paralimniou played?
- Aetos Orfani vs Apollon Paralimniou is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Panayot Volov, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.