Kaya vs Stallion: prediction and stats
PFLGroup StageKick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Rizal Memorial Stadium, Manila
The Footlab AI model makes Kaya the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Stallion. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaya vs Stallion?
Kaya starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,598 vs 1,466).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kaya vs Stallion
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kaya
Not enough data to predict the Kaya lineup.
Stallion
Not enough data to predict the Stallion lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaya have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Stallion have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Manila Digger(home) | 0-1 | PFL |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Philippine Army(home) | 5-0 | PFL |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tuloy(away) | 3-0 | PFL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Azkals(away) | 3-1 | PFL |
| May 30, 2026 | Dynamic Herb Cebu(away) | 0-1 | PFL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tuloy(away) | 5-4 | PFL |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Maharlika(home) | 0-2 | PFL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manila Digger(home) | 0-3 | PFL |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Azkals(home) | 4-0 | PFL |
| May 30, 2026 | Davao Aguilas(home) | 2-2 | PFL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kaya wins, 2 draws, 0 Stallion wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Kaya 2-2 Stallion | PFL |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Kaya 1-1 Stallion | PFL |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Stallion 0-1 Kaya | PFL |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Kaya 2-0 Stallion | PFL |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Stallion 1-5 Kaya | PFL |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Kaya 3-2 Stallion | PFL |
How many goals should we expect?
Kaya score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Stallion score 2.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaya | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Stallion | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kaya sit 3rd in PFL (48 points from 25 matches) and Stallion sit 6th (37 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kaya | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 76 | 21 | 48 |
| 6 | Stallion | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 65 | 36 | 37 |
A question about Kaya vs Stallion?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaya vs Stallion?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kaya the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Stallion.
- Where and when is Kaya vs Stallion played?
- Kaya vs Stallion is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Rizal Memorial Stadium, in the PFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.