Kayanza United vs Inter Star: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Muyinga
The Footlab model makes Kayanza United the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Inter Star. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kayanza United vs Inter Star?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Kayanza United (1,442) and Inter Star (1,441).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kayanza United have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Inter Star have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Young Star(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Dynamik(home) | 3-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muzinga(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 2-2 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Never Give Up Academy(home) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vital'O(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(away) | 0-3 | Ligue A |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Olympic Star(home) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Musongati(away) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kayanza United win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Inter Star win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | Inter Star 2-3 Kayanza United | Ligue A |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Kayanza United 2-0 Inter Star | Ligue A |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Inter Star 4-3 Kayanza United | Ligue A |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Kayanza United 3-0 Inter Star | Ligue A |
| May 4, 2024 | Kayanza United 1-3 Inter Star | Ligue A |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Inter Star 1-0 Kayanza United | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Inter Star vs Kayanza United on Mar 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kayanza United score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Inter Star score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayanza United | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Inter Star | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kayanza United sit 8th in Ligue A (2 points from 2 matches) and Inter Star sit 11th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kayanza United | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Inter Star | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kayanza United vs Inter Star?
- The Footlab model makes Kayanza United the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Inter Star.
- Where and when is Kayanza United vs Inter Star played?
- Kayanza United vs Inter Star is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.