Bumamuru vs Flambeau du Centre: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Urunani, Buganda
The Footlab model makes Flambeau du Centre the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Bumamuru. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bumamuru vs Flambeau du Centre?
Flambeau du Centre starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,646 vs 1,545).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bumamuru have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Flambeau du Centre have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Panthere Noir(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(home) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Musongati(away) | 0-3 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rukinzo(home) | 0-4 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Green Farmers FC(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Aigle Noir(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kayanza United(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Rukinzo(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Green Farmers FC(home) | 5-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kayanza United(away) | 2-2 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bumamuru win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Flambeau du Centre win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Bumamuru 0-0 Flambeau du Centre | Ligue A |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Flambeau du Centre 0-1 Bumamuru | Ligue A |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Bumamuru 1-1 Flambeau du Centre | Ligue A |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Flambeau du Centre 1-0 Bumamuru | Ligue A |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Bumamuru 0-1 Flambeau du Centre | Ligue A |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Flambeau du Centre 3-0 Bumamuru | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Bumamuru vs Flambeau du Centre on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bumamuru score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Flambeau du Centre score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bumamuru | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Flambeau du Centre | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bumamuru sit 14th in Ligue A (1 points from 2 matches) and Flambeau du Centre sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Flambeau du Centre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Bumamuru | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bumamuru vs Flambeau du Centre?
- The Footlab model makes Flambeau du Centre the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Bumamuru.
- Where and when is Bumamuru vs Flambeau du Centre played?
- Bumamuru vs Flambeau du Centre is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Urunani, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.