Keçiörengücü vs İstanbulspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Aktepe Stadı, Ankara
The Footlab model makes Keçiörengücü the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for İstanbulspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Keçiörengücü vs İstanbulspor?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Keçiörengücü (1,870) and İstanbulspor (1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Keçiörengücü have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; İstanbulspor have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 3-4 | 1. Lig |
| May 7, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 2-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 0-3 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Adana Demirspor(home) | 8-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 3-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Keçiörengücü win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 İstanbulspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | İstanbulspor 2-2 Keçiörengücü | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Keçiörengücü 0-0 İstanbulspor | 1. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2025 | İstanbulspor 0-2 Keçiörengücü | 1. Lig |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Keçiörengücü 2-1 İstanbulspor | 1. Lig |
| Mar 18, 2022 | İstanbulspor 1-1 Keçiörengücü | 1. Lig |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Keçiörengücü 3-2 İstanbulspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: İstanbulspor vs Keçiörengücü on Jan 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Keçiörengücü score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; İstanbulspor score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keçiörengücü | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| İstanbulspor | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Keçiörengücü sit 8th in 1. Lig (4 points from 3 matches) and İstanbulspor sit 19th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Keçiörengücü | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Keçiörengücü vs İstanbulspor?
- The Footlab model makes Keçiörengücü the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for İstanbulspor.
- Where and when is Keçiörengücü vs İstanbulspor played?
- Keçiörengücü vs İstanbulspor is played on April 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Aktepe Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.