Ümraniyespor vs Iğdır FK: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Ümraniyespor the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Iğdır FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ümraniyespor vs Iğdır FK?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Ümraniyespor (1,761) and Iğdır FK (1,808).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ümraniyespor have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Iğdır FK have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bursaspor(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Amed(home) | 3-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Ümraniyespor win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Iğdır FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Iğdır FK 1-1 Ümraniyespor | 1. Lig |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Ümraniyespor 0-1 Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Iğdır FK 0-0 Ümraniyespor | 1. Lig |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Ümraniyespor 0-1 Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Iğdır FK vs Ümraniyespor on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ümraniyespor score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Iğdır FK score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ümraniyespor | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Iğdır FK | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ümraniyespor sit 15th in 1. Lig (2 points from 3 matches) and Iğdır FK sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Iğdır FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Ümraniyespor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ümraniyespor vs Iğdır FK?
- The Footlab model makes Ümraniyespor the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Iğdır FK.
- Where and when is Ümraniyespor vs Iğdır FK played?
- Ümraniyespor vs Iğdır FK is played on April 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.