Sivasspor vs Bursaspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu, Sivas
The Footlab model makes Bursaspor the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Sivasspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sivasspor vs Bursaspor?
Bursaspor starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,911 vs 1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sivasspor have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Bursaspor have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kayserispor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 5-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sivasspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Bursaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | Bursaspor 3-2 Sivasspor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Sivasspor 2-0 Bursaspor | Süper Lig |
| Mar 17, 2018 | Bursaspor 1-0 Sivasspor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 22, 2017 | Sivasspor 0-0 Bursaspor | Süper Lig |
| Apr 3, 2016 | Sivasspor 1-2 Bursaspor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 28, 2015 | Bursaspor 1-0 Sivasspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Bursaspor vs Sivasspor on Mar 2, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Sivasspor score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bursaspor score 2.3 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bursaspor | 2.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sivasspor sit 16th in 1. Lig (2 points from 3 matches) and Bursaspor sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bursaspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Sivasspor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sivasspor vs Bursaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Bursaspor the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Sivasspor.
- Where and when is Sivasspor vs Bursaspor played?
- Sivasspor vs Bursaspor is played on April 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.