Kenya vs Gabon: result 1-2 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification AfricaGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on March 23, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Mandela National Stadium, Kampala
Full time
What was the result of Kenya vs Gabon?
Gabon won 1-2 on March 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 16′P. AubameyangGabon
- 52′P. AubameyangGabon (pen.)
- 62′M. OlungaKenya
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kenya have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Gabon have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Gambia(away) | 3-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jan 7, 2025 | Tanzania(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Burkina Faso(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Namibia(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Zimbabwe(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Seychelles(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Gambia(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Gambia(away) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Central African Republic(away) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Morocco(home) | 1-5 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kenya win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gabon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2023 | Gabon 2-1 Kenya | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Kenya score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gabon score 1.2 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Gabon | 1.2 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kenya sit 4th in World Cup - Qualification Africa (12 points from 10 matches) and Gabon sit 2nd (25 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gabon | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Kenya | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 12 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy