Kenya vs Madagascar: result 1-1 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipQuarter-finalsKick-off on August 22, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Moi International Sports Centre, Nairobi
Full time
What was the result of Kenya vs Madagascar?
Kenya and Madagascar drew 1-1 on August 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 48′Alphonce OmijaKenya
- 69′Fenohasina Gilles RazafimaroMadagascar (pen.)
Official lineup for Kenya vs Madagascar
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Kenya
- 11B. Muchiri
- 15R. Ogam
- 8A. Onyango
- 17B. Omondi
- 4M. Kibwage
- 13L. Bandi
- 21M. Nabwire
- 23B. Omondi
- 3Aboud Omar Khamis
- 5Alphonce Omija
- 20Manzur Okwaro
Madagascar
- 9Fenohasina Gilles Razafimaro
- 10Andriamirado Aro Hasina Andrianarimanana
- 2N. Randriamanampisoa
- 3T. Randrianirina
- 4T. Randriamanampisoa
- 8L. Rafanomezantsoa
- 13N. Razafimahatana
- 17J. Ranaivoson
- 19B. Rabearivelo
- 21Radoniaina Rabemanantsoa
- 1M. Ramandimbisoa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kenya have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Madagascar have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2025 | Zambia(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Morocco(home) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Angola(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Congo DR(home) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Chad(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2025 | Burkina Faso(away) | 2-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Central African Republic(home) | 2-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Tanzania(away) | 1-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Mauritania(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Comoros(home) | 0-1 | COSAFA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Kenya win, 0 draws, 0 Madagascar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2019 | Kenya 1-0 Madagascar | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Kenya score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Madagascar score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Madagascar | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kenya sit 1st in African Nations Championship (10 points from 4 matches) and Madagascar sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KenyaGroup A | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | MadagascarGroup B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
A question about Kenya vs Madagascar?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy