KF Lepenci vs Mitrovica: prediction and stats
Liga E PareRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes KF Lepenci the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Mitrovica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KF Lepenci vs Mitrovica?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate KF Lepenci (1,533) and Mitrovica (1,540).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, KF Lepenci have 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Mitrovica have 0, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ramiz Sadiku(away) | 2-2 | Liga E Pare |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 2 Korriku(home) | 0-2 | Liga E Pare |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Prishtina e Re(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Trepça Mitrovicë(away) | 1-3 | Liga E Pare |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Vëllaznimi(home) | 3-4 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
KF Lepenci score 0.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 4; Mitrovica score 2.0 and concede 3.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KF Lepenci | 0.8 | 2.3 | 0 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
| Mitrovica | 2.0 | 3.5 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KF Lepenci sit 13th in Liga E Pare (1 points from 2 matches) and Mitrovica sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | KF Lepenci | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Mitrovica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KF Lepenci vs Mitrovica?
- The Footlab model makes KF Lepenci the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Mitrovica.
- Where and when is KF Lepenci vs Mitrovica played?
- KF Lepenci vs Mitrovica is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC), in the Liga E Pare.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.