Trepça Mitrovicë vs Rilindja 1974: prediction and stats
Liga E PareRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Xhevat Jusufi, Mitrovicë
The Footlab model makes Trepça Mitrovicë the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Rilindja 1974. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trepça Mitrovicë vs Rilindja 1974?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Trepça Mitrovicë (1,433) and Rilindja 1974 (1,455).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trepça Mitrovicë have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Rilindja 1974 have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dinamo Ferizaj(away) | 0-5 | Liga E Pare |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mitrovica(home) | 3-1 | Liga E Pare |
| May 23, 2026 | 2 Korriku(home) | 0-3 | Liga E Pare |
| May 16, 2026 | Feronikeli(away) | 0-3 | Liga E Pare |
| May 10, 2026 | Vushtrria(home) | 0-1 | Liga E Pare |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ferizaj(home) | 1-1 | Liga E Pare |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Ferizaj(away) | 0-2 | Liga E Pare |
| May 23, 2026 | Trepça'89(away) | 1-7 | Liga E Pare |
| May 16, 2026 | Dinamo Ferizaj(home) | 3-4 | Liga E Pare |
| May 9, 2026 | Suhareka(away) | 1-3 | Liga E Pare |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Trepça Mitrovicë win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Rilindja 1974 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Rilindja 1974 2-1 Trepça Mitrovicë | Liga E Pare |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Trepça Mitrovicë 0-2 Rilindja 1974 | Liga E Pare |
Last archived meeting: Rilindja 1974 vs Trepça Mitrovicë on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trepça Mitrovicë score 1.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rilindja 1974 score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trepça Mitrovicë | 1.1 | 2.7 | 0 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Rilindja 1974 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trepça Mitrovicë sit 9th in Liga E Pare (3 points from 2 matches) and Rilindja 1974 sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trepça Mitrovicë | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Rilindja 1974 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trepça Mitrovicë vs Rilindja 1974?
- The Footlab model makes Trepça Mitrovicë the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Rilindja 1974.
- Where and when is Trepça Mitrovicë vs Rilindja 1974 played?
- Trepça Mitrovicë vs Rilindja 1974 is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Xhevat Jusufi, in the Liga E Pare.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.