KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SC St. Tönis: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 17Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Grotenburg-Stadion, Krefeld
The Footlab model makes KFC Uerdingen 05 the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for SC St. Tönis. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SC St. Tönis?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate KFC Uerdingen 05 (1,876) and SC St. Tönis (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KFC Uerdingen 05 have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; SC St. Tönis have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holzheimer SG(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 29, 2026 | Meerbusch(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Kleve(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 0-11 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hilden(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 KFC Uerdingen 05 win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 SC St. Tönis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05 1-3 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 13, 2025 | SC St. Tönis 1-2 KFC Uerdingen 05 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 17, 2024 | SC St. Tönis 2-4 KFC Uerdingen 05 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 24, 2024 | KFC Uerdingen 05 1-4 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 3, 2023 | SC St. Tönis 2-1 KFC Uerdingen 05 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Mar 18, 2023 | KFC Uerdingen 05 1-4 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SC St. Tönis on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KFC Uerdingen 05 score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; SC St. Tönis score 1.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KFC Uerdingen 05 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| SC St. Tönis | 1.9 | 2.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KFC Uerdingen 05 sit 6th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (3 points from 1 matches) and SC St. Tönis sit 9th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | KFC Uerdingen 05 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | SC St. Tönis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SC St. Tönis?
- The Footlab model makes KFC Uerdingen 05 the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for SC St. Tönis.
- Where and when is KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SC St. Tönis played?
- KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SC St. Tönis is played on December 18, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Grotenburg-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026SonsbeckvsFortuna Düsseldorf II
- Dec 20, 2026SW EssenvsSF Baumberg
- Dec 20, 2026Germania RatingenvsWuppertaler SV
- Dec 20, 2026ScherpenbergvsSSVg Velbert
- Dec 20, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsBüderich
- Dec 20, 2026MonheimvsSchonnebeck
- Dec 20, 2026MeerbuschvsHolzheimer SG
- Dec 20, 2026Solingen-WaldvsBW Dingden