SW Essen vs SF Baumberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Uhlenkrugstadion, Essen
The Footlab AI model makes SF Baumberg the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SW Essen vs SF Baumberg?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate SW Essen (1,719) and SF Baumberg (1,777).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SW Essen vs SF Baumberg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SW Essen
Not enough data to predict the SW Essen lineup.
SF Baumberg
Not enough data to predict the SF Baumberg lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SW Essen have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; SF Baumberg have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Monheim(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 13, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Schonnebeck(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Wuppertaler SV(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Monheim(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SW Essen wins, 2 draws, 2 SF Baumberg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | SW Essen 2-2 SF Baumberg | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 24, 2025 | SF Baumberg 4-2 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Mar 23, 2025 | SW Essen 2-0 SF Baumberg | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 28, 2024 | SF Baumberg 0-1 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Mar 17, 2024 | SW Essen 0-1 SF Baumberg | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 23, 2023 | SF Baumberg 0-0 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: SW Essen vs SF Baumberg on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SW Essen score 1.2 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; SF Baumberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SW Essen | 1.2 | 2.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| SF Baumberg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SW Essen sit 15th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (6 points from 8 matches) and SF Baumberg sit 5th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SF Baumberg | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 14 |
| 15 | SW Essen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 6 |
A question about SW Essen vs SF Baumberg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SW Essen vs SF Baumberg?
- The Footlab AI model makes SF Baumberg the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for SW Essen.
- Where and when is SW Essen vs SF Baumberg played?
- SW Essen vs SF Baumberg is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Uhlenkrugstadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 18, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05vsSC St. Tönis
- Dec 20, 2026SonsbeckvsFortuna Düsseldorf II
- Dec 20, 2026MeerbuschvsHolzheimer SG
- Dec 20, 2026ScherpenbergvsSSVg Velbert
- Dec 20, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsBüderich
- Dec 20, 2026Germania RatingenvsWuppertaler SV
- Dec 20, 2026MonheimvsSchonnebeck
- Dec 20, 2026Solingen-WaldvsBW Dingden