Match

Scherpenberg vs SSVg Velbert: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hartplatz SV Scherpenberg, Moers

ScherpenbergSSVg Velbert

The Footlab model makes Scherpenberg the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for SSVg Velbert. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Scherpenberg vs SSVg Velbert?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Scherpenberg (1,762) and SSVg Velbert (1,812).

Scherpenberg win44 %
Draw23 %
SSVg Velbert win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Scherpenberg have 1 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; SSVg Velbert have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Scherpenberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sonsbeck(away)1-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 14, 2026SW Essen(home)5-3Oberliga - Niederrhein
Mar 12, 2024Sonsbeck(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2020Sterkrade-Nord(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
SSVg Velbert
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SW Essen(away)4-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 16, 2026Wuppertaler SV(home)1-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 12, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)0-8Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Sportfreunde Siegen(away)1-3Regionalliga - West
May 8, 2026Paderborn II(home)1-3Regionalliga - West

How many goals should we expect?

Scherpenberg score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 4; SSVg Velbert score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Scherpenberg2.31.804/42/4
SSVg Velbert1.32.1210/1510/15

Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Scherpenberg sit 6th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (3 points from 1 matches) and SSVg Velbert sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1SSVg Velbert2200516
6Scherpenberg1100533

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Scherpenberg vs SSVg Velbert?
The Footlab model makes Scherpenberg the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for SSVg Velbert.
Where and when is Scherpenberg vs SSVg Velbert played?
Scherpenberg vs SSVg Velbert is played on December 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hartplatz SV Scherpenberg, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Scherpenberg and SSVg Velbert

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