Khenchela vs USM Alger: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Hamam Ammar, Khenchela
The Footlab model makes Khenchela the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for USM Alger. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Khenchela vs USM Alger?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Khenchela (1,852) and USM Alger (1,914).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Khenchela have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; USM Alger have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | MB Rouisset(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 25, 2026 | USM Alger(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 19, 2026 | CS Constantine(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | El Bayadh(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | MC Oran(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Ben Aknoun(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | MB Rouisset(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 25, 2026 | Khenchela(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Khenchela win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 USM Alger win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Khenchela 2-1 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | USM Alger 1-1 Khenchela | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Khenchela 1-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 5, 2025 | USM Alger 3-0 Khenchela | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Khenchela 1-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | USM Alger 3-0 Khenchela | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Khenchela vs USM Alger on May 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Khenchela score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; USM Alger score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khenchela | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| USM Alger | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Khenchela sit 7th in Ligue 1 (44 points from 30 matches) and USM Alger sit 10th (39 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Khenchela | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 37 | 44 |
| 10 | USM Alger | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Khenchela vs USM Alger?
- The Footlab model makes Khenchela the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for USM Alger.
- Where and when is Khenchela vs USM Alger played?
- Khenchela vs USM Alger is played on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Hamam Ammar, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.