MC Alger vs MC Oran: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stade Ali-la-Pointe, Douera
The Footlab model makes MC Alger the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for MC Oran. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MC Alger vs MC Oran?
MC Alger starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (2,006 vs 1,884).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MC Alger have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; MC Oran have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 5, 2026 | ASO Chlef(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | ES Setif(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Muaither SC(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | USM Alger(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 7, 2026 | ASO Chlef(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | JS Kabylie(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 MC Alger win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 MC Oran win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | MC Oran 2-1 MC Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2025 | MC Alger 3-2 MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 6, 2025 | MC Oran 0-2 MC Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2024 | MC Alger 1-0 MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2024 | MC Alger 3-2 MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 26, 2024 | MC Oran 0-2 MC Alger | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
MC Alger score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; MC Oran score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Alger | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| MC Oran | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MC Alger sit 1st in Ligue 1 (65 points from 30 matches) and MC Oran sit 4th (49 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MC Alger | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 18 | 65 |
| 4 | MC Oran | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MC Alger vs MC Oran?
- The Footlab model makes MC Alger the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for MC Oran.
- Where and when is MC Alger vs MC Oran played?
- MC Alger vs MC Oran is played on August 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Ali-la-Pointe, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.