ES Setif vs Ben Aknoun: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade du 8 Mai 1945, Sétif
The Footlab model makes ES Setif the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Ben Aknoun. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Setif vs Ben Aknoun?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate ES Setif (1,864) and Ben Aknoun (1,871).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Setif have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Ben Aknoun have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Paradou AC(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | JS Kabylie(away) | 1-5 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MC Oran(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Olympique Akbou(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | USM Alger(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 24, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 19, 2026 | Mostaganem(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 21, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 ES Setif win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Ben Aknoun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | ES Setif 1-1 Ben Aknoun | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Ben Aknoun 0-1 ES Setif | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 7, 2024 | Ben Aknoun 1-0 ES Setif | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | ES Setif 1-1 Ben Aknoun | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: ES Setif vs Ben Aknoun on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ES Setif score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ben Aknoun score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Setif | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Ben Aknoun | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Setif sit 11th in Ligue 1 (39 points from 30 matches) and Ben Aknoun sit 8th (43 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ben Aknoun | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 43 |
| 11 | ES Setif | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 36 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Setif vs Ben Aknoun?
- The Footlab model makes ES Setif the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Ben Aknoun.
- Where and when is ES Setif vs Ben Aknoun played?
- ES Setif vs Ben Aknoun is played on August 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du 8 Mai 1945, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.