Khovd vs Erchim: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Football Centre MFF, Ulan Bator (Ulaanbaatar)
The Footlab AI model makes Khovd the favourite at 46%, against 18% for a draw and 36% for Erchim. The most likely score is 2-2. If Khovd wins, the most likely score is 3-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Khovd vs Erchim?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Khovd (1,358) and Erchim (1,340).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Khovd vs Erchim
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Khovd
Not enough data to predict the Khovd lineup.
Erchim
4-3-3- 15Gal-Erdene Soyol-Erdene
- 10Munkh-Erdene Tuguldur
- 12Davaajav Battur
- 11Batbilguun Ganbaatar
- 24Tumurbaatar Dulguun
- 20Bilgüün Ganbold
- 8Enkhjargal Tserenjavyn
- 33Shinezuum Chunchignorov
- 32Davaakhuu Zoljargal
- 27Galt Tuguldur
- 1Ariunbold Batsaikhan
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Khovd have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Erchim have 2, 0 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Hunters(away) | 1-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amtat FC(home) | 8-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deren(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Ulaanbaatar(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Erchim(away) | 8-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hunters(away) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Deren(away) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ulaanbaatar(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Central Stallions(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Khovd(home) | 2-8 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Khovd wins, 2 draws, 2 Erchim wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Erchim 2-8 Khovd | Premier League |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Erchim 1-3 Khovd | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Khovd 3-3 Erchim | Premier League |
| May 3, 2024 | Erchim 5-3 Khovd | Premier League |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Khovd 2-5 Erchim | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Erchim 1-1 Khovd | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Khovd score 2.1 and concede 4.6 goals per match over their last 15; Erchim score 1.2 and concede 4.3. The model gives a 90% probability of over 2.5 goals and 87% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khovd | 2.1 | 4.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 15/15 |
| Erchim | 1.2 | 4.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Khovd sit 5th in Premier League (10 points from 7 matches) and Erchim sit 6th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Khovd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 21 | 10 |
| 6 | Erchim | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 6 |
A question about Khovd vs Erchim?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Khovd vs Erchim?
- The Footlab AI model makes Khovd the favourite at 46%, against 18% for a draw and 36% for Erchim.
- Where and when is Khovd vs Erchim played?
- Khovd vs Erchim is played on October 24, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Football Centre MFF, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 90% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.