Kickers Emden vs Todesfelde: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 12Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Ostfriesland-Stadion, Emden
The Footlab model makes Todesfelde the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Kickers Emden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kickers Emden vs Todesfelde?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Kickers Emden (1,915) and Todesfelde (2,001).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kickers Emden have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Todesfelde have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 2-6 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HSC Hannover(away) | 4-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | St. Pauli II(home) | 6-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hansa Rostock II(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Kickers Emden win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Todesfelde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Kickers Emden 1-0 Todesfelde | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Todesfelde 1-3 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Kickers Emden vs Todesfelde on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kickers Emden score 2.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Todesfelde score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kickers Emden | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Todesfelde | 2.5 | 1.2 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kickers Emden sit 13th in Regionalliga - Nord (4 points from 4 matches) and Todesfelde sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Todesfelde | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 5 |
| 13 | Kickers Emden | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kickers Emden vs Todesfelde?
- The Footlab model makes Todesfelde the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Kickers Emden.
- Where and when is Kickers Emden vs Todesfelde played?
- Kickers Emden vs Todesfelde is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Ostfriesland-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026SV Drochtersen/AsselvsSSV Jeddeloh
- Oct 3, 2026VfB LübeckvsEimsbütteler TV
- Oct 3, 2026Eintracht NorderstedtvsBremer SV
- Oct 3, 2026Weiche FlensburgvsVfB Oldenburg
- Oct 3, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsSt. Pauli II
- Oct 3, 2026HSC HannovervsSchöningen
- Oct 3, 2026Hamburger SV IIvsWerder Bremen II
- Oct 3, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsPhönix Lübeck